The development of the chemical products industry in 2025 presents a core trend of structural transformation and technological upgrading, mainly focusing on the following directions:
1、 Green and low-carbon transformation accelerates
Policy driven and technological breakthroughs:
The global “dual carbon” goal is driving stricter environmental regulations, and the EU Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) is forcing companies to reduce emissions; The pilot of zero carbon factories in China covers 30% of chemical industrial parks, with a supporting special bond of 50 billion yuan.
The research and development of bio based materials (such as bio based polyester and ethanol) has exploded, and the commercialization of chemical recycling technology has accelerated. Carbon footprint disclosure by leading enterprises has become a standard feature.
Case: Dow Chemical invests $1 billion to build a bioethanol to olefin plant, reducing carbon emissions by 40% throughout the entire lifecycle; Sinopec Qilu Petrochemical’s annual capture of 1 million tons of CO ₂ demonstration project has been launched.
Deepening of circular economy:
The annual growth rate of demand for recycled plastics has reached 15%, but the cost is still 10% -15% higher than that of raw materials, which limits market penetration; The physical recycling technology is mature, while the industrialization of chemical recycling is still in its early stages.
2、 Technology driven industrial upgrading
Intelligence and digital transformation
Artificial intelligence and digital twin technology are deeply integrated into the production process, and the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology requires the construction of 30 intelligent manufacturing demonstration factories by 2025.
Domestic substitution of high-end materials
The country has established a 10 billion yuan new material research and development fund to break through bottleneck areas such as electronic special gas (purity>99.999%) and solid-state battery materials; The substitution of high-end polyolefin production capacity is shifting towards technology intensive adjustments.
By 2025, the growth rate of the chemical new materials sector will reach 8% (far higher than traditional refining by 3%), and the localization rate of products such as metallocene polyolefins will increase.
